2017 was the year that AlphaGo Zero
taught itself the game of Go and within 40 days became better than any
human or artificial player ever existed. It did so without any human
data as input and purely played against itself. As a result, it taught
itself strategies and moves no human has ever thought of and arguably
progressed the evolution of the game of Go exponentially in a very short
timeframe. This achievement marks a significant milestone in the
development of artificial intelligence.
In 2018, this will only continue and we will see more examples of
artificial intelligence that will behave in unexpected ways, as it
already did so this year. In 2017, for example, AI developers from Google
built algorithms that had to compete for scarce resources, resulting in
increasingly advanced strategies to beat the component. Google Brain
developed algorithms that created new encryption methods, unlike any
seen before, to protect information from other neural networks. Finally,
Facebook
had to shut down two algorithms that created its own secret language,
unsolicited and used advanced strategies to get what it wanted. If one
thing becomes clear from these developments, it is that artificial intelligence will be fundamentally different to human intelligence.
With the AI arms race
in full swing, governments and organisations are increasing their
investments in the development of ever more intelligent AI. In September
2017, Putin said that “whoever becomes the leader in this sphere will
become the ruler of the world”, signalling that Russia will intensify
its AI activities. On the other side of the world, China aims to outsmart
the USA in AI, with Europe unfortunately nowhere to be seen. The AI
arms race seriously scares well-known entrepreneurs such as Elon Musk
and Stephen Hawking and a solution for the existential threat of AI is still far away.
The combination of an AI arms race and developments where
artificial intelligence can be trained without human data will likely
result in massive steps forward in 2018. As AI becomes smarter, more
money will flow into it. However, ordinary organisations, as well as
small and medium enterprises, are likely to miss out, as the power of AI
will consolidate among just a few players and countries.
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